Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.971127 1.135894 1.313250 1.517559 1.745603 1.991503 2.275875
2025-03-09 0.685130 0.909658 1.174407 1.505667 1.904893 2.366329 2.935550
2025-03-16 0.492506 0.739179 1.056039 1.482938 2.032368 2.704767 3.577908
2025-03-23 0.391554 0.655972 1.021970 1.546538 2.258363 3.169215 4.398949
2025-03-30 0.315357 0.586560 0.988855 1.598187 2.463765 3.613738 5.216920
2025-04-06 0.240794 0.500215 0.913460 1.574677 2.556379 3.907600 5.848023
2025-04-13 0.194776 0.448085 0.878298 1.600306 2.713105 4.290343 6.610716
2025-04-20 0.156202 0.398700 0.837605 1.608810 2.839934 4.632699 7.328678
2025-04-27 0.126127 0.357166 0.802045 1.618405 2.964591 4.973620 8.054812
2025-05-04 0.100116 0.316302 0.759888 1.609828 3.056434 5.266766 8.720446
2025-05-11 0.076783 0.273737 0.706341 1.573353 3.097298 5.481363 9.275833
2025-05-18 0.062175 0.247580 0.680212 1.581589 3.209669 5.807198 10.004743
2025-05-25 0.047281 0.215451 0.636933 1.555068 3.264994 6.053217 10.634721
2025-06-01 0.038021 0.196066 0.618087 1.573353 3.399061 6.430644 11.481070
2025-06-08 0.029155 0.173472 0.587101 1.563212 3.480929 6.726737 12.212214
2025-06-15 0.025380 0.167539 0.595752 1.635552 3.716742 7.284413 13.371370
2025-06-22 0.021564 0.159434 0.597208 1.692238 3.926158 7.805559 14.488137
2025-06-29 0.016035 0.139991 0.564006 1.668868 3.981866 8.068977 15.199812
2025-07-06 0.012912 0.129711 0.554096 1.696208 4.135692 8.504257 16.200757
2025-07-13 0.010015 0.118041 0.537333 1.705341 4.253445 8.880503 17.115082
2025-07-20 0.007725 0.107635 0.521905 1.715482 4.372914 9.262993 18.049244
2025-07-27 0.005676 0.096151 0.499910 1.706556 4.452190 9.576102 18.875529
2025-08-03 0.003835 0.082975 0.468105 1.668414 4.467501 9.773772 19.512080